2019
Thompson, E. (2019) 'Acting in advance of humanitarian crises: using forecasts effectively', 杏吧论坛 Research Showcase, 19 November 2019.
Wheatcroft, E. (2019) 'Modelling wild reindeer populations', 杏吧论坛 Research Showcase, 19 November 2019.
2014
Du, H., Smith, L.A., Suckling, E. and Thompson, E. (2014) 'Increasing foresight and forecast quality with skillful low-cost empirical models', presented at the 2014 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, 15-19 December 2014.
Du, H. and Smith, L.A. (2014) 'Examining model fidelity via shadowing time', presented at the 2014 AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, 15-19 December 2014.
Du, H. and Smith, L.A. (2014) 'Model fidelity and policy making', presented at the University of Chicago, Center for Robust Decision Making on Climate and Energy Policy (RDCEP), June 2014.
Thompson, E.L., Smith, L.A. and MacKay, D. (2014) 'Visualising uncertainty in climate model projections for the DECC Global 2050 Calculator', presented at the PURE Associates Showcase and NERC Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Call, London, 20 May 2014.
Wheatcroft, E. (2014) 'Improving the safety of RNLI operations through better use of probabilistic weather information', presented at the PURE Associates Showcase and NERC Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Call, London, 20 May 2014.
Thompson, E.L. and Smith, L.A. (2014) 'The Hawkmoth Effect', presented at 杏吧论坛 Research Festival, 8 May 2014.
Ranger, N. and Surminski, S. (2014) 'A preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on non-life insurance demand in the BRICS economies'. Shortlisted for the Lloyd's Science of Risk Prize 2014.
2013
Sienkiewicz, E.A., Thompson, E.L. and Smith, L.A. (2013) 'Consistency of regional climate projections with the global condition that stimulated them' presented at the AGU Fall Meeting 2013, San Francisco, 9-13 December 2013.
Thompson, E.L. and Smith, L.A. (2013) 'The Hawkmoth Effect' presented at the AGU Fall Meeting 2013, San Francisco, 9-13 December 2013.
Maynard, T. (2013) 'The value of seasonal weather forecasting', presented at the 4th International Summit on Hurricanes and Climate Change, Kos, Greece, 13-18 June 2013.
Higgins, S. and Smith, L.A. (2013) 'The impact of weather on maize yield' presented at the 杏吧论坛 Research Festival 2013.
Chapman, S.C., Stainforth, D.A. and Watkins, N.W. (2013) 'An observationally-centred method to quantify local climate change as a distribution' presented at the Newton Institute Program, Non-equilibrium Statistical Mechanics and the Theory of Extreme Events in Earth Science, Cambridge, 29 October-1 November 2013.
Sienkiewicz, E., Smith, L.A. and Thompson, E.L. (2013) 'How to quantify the predictability of a chaotic system', presented at the , Oxford, 8-20 September 2013.
Jarman, A.S. and Smith, L.A. (2013) 'Forecasting the probability of tropical cyclone formation: the reliability of NHC forecasts from the 2012 hurricane season' presented at the EGU General Assembly 2013, 11 April 2013.
2012
Ranger, N. and Niehoerster, F. (2012) 'What do we really know about US hurricane risk in 2020?', presented at the Lloyds Science of Risk Prize event, 29 November 2012.
This poster relates to the paper by the same authors: 'Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments'.
Lopez, A. and Smith, L.A. (2012) 'Signal, Insight and Noise: contrasting the decision relevance of climate models with climate science,' presented at the EGU General Assembly 2012, Vienna, 22-27 April 2012.
Wheatcroft, E. (2012) 'Using shadowing ratios to evaluate data assimilation techniques', presented at the EGU General Assembly 2012, Vienna, 22-27 April 2012. Ed was awarded a prize of £100 for this poster at the annual 杏吧论坛 Statistics PhD Presentation Event.
Maynard, T., Suckling, E., Wheatcroft, E. and Smith, L.A. (2012) 'Skills scores for probabilistic climate and weather prediction', presented at the EGU General Assembly 2012, Vienna, 22-27 April 2012.
Lopez, A. and Smith, L.A. (2012) 'Pattern scaled climate change scenarios: are these useful for adaptation?', presented at the EGU General Assembly 2012, Vienna, 22-27 April 2012.
Jarman, A. and Smith, L.A. (2012) 'Distinguishing between skill and value in hurricane forecasting', presented at the EGU General Assembly 2012, Vienna, 22-27 April 2012.
2011
Jarman, A. and Smith, L.A. (2011) 'Small-number statistics, common sense and profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting,' presented at 杏吧论坛, 26 May 2011.
Higgins, S. and Smith, L.A. (2011) 'Blending ensembles from multiple models', presented at 杏吧论坛, 16 March 2011.
Suckling, E. and Smith, L.A. (2011) 'All models are wrong: which are worth paying to look at?' A case study for Global Mean Temperature,' presented at the University of Groningen, 16 March 2011.
Binter, R. and Smith, L.A. (2011) 'All models are wrong, some can be made less wrong', presented at the University of Groningen, 16 March 2011.
Du, H. and Smith, L.A. (2011) 'What is the point of data assimilation when the model(s) is wrong?', presented at the University of Groningen, 16 March 2011.
Du, H. (2011) 'Robust measure of predictive skill and ensemble design', presented at the 'Equipping society for climate change through improved treatments of uncertainty' Conference, Leeds, 19 January 2011.
Lopez, A. (2011) 'Are pattern scaling methods useful to inform about adaptation strategies?', presented at the 'Equipping society for climate change through improved treatments of uncertainty' Conference, Leeds, 19 January 2011.
Lopez, A. (2011) 'Is probabilistic climate change information required to inform adaptation to climate change?', presented at the 'Equipping society for climate change through improved treatments of uncertainty' Conference, Leeds, 19 January 2011.
Suckling, E. (2011) '(When) are simulation models better?', presented at the 'Equipping society for climate change through improved treatments of uncertainty' Conference, Leeds, 19 January 2011.
Jarman, A. (2011) 'Small-number statistics, common sense and profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting', presented at the 'Equipping society for climate change through improved treatments of uncertainty' Conference, Leeds, 19 January 2011.
2009
Du, H., Niehoerster, F., Binter, R. and Smith, L.A. (2009) 'Skill of ensemble seasonal probabilistic forecast', presented at the ENSEMBLES Final Symposium, Met Office, Exeter, 17-19 November 2009.
2007
Smith, L.A. (2007) 'On the impact of NUMB weather on science, society and operational forecasting centres', presented at the 22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/18th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Utah, 25-27 June 2007. Poster abstract.
Clarke, L. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'On the relevance of climate model output for decision support', presented at the EGU General Assembly 2007, 15-20 April 2007.
2004
Andianova, A. and Smith, L.A. (2004) 'Climate Generators: benchmarks for THORPEX forecasts beyond week one', First THORPEX International Science Symposium, Montreal, Canada, 6-10 December 2004.
Judd, K., Smith, L.A. and Weisheimer, A. (2004) 'How good is an ensemble at capturing truth?', presented at the EGU General Assembly 2004, 25-30 April 2004.